Event Ambiguity Detection for Research Teams

Catch unclear event questions before they slow down your workflow.

Public event data looks clean until the wording gets tested. OracleMangle finds ambiguous terms, weak source rules, and resolution-risk patterns so analysts and automated systems can route messy questions for review before they create operational drag.

Free delayed signals, $19 Starter API, $79 Pro API, and custom institutional research workflows.

167K+
public event questions in our labelled history
1,686
contested outcomes labelled as ground truth
8.2x
higher contested-outcome rate in our top risk bucket vs baseline
30 sec
delayed signal delivery via free Telegram bot

Numbers measured on the public event questions our system has scored to date. See the calibration breakdown below.

What You Get

Not a dashboard. A review memo.

The report ranks questions by ambiguity, explains the wording problem, and recommends whether to automate, rewrite, or manually review.

  • Highest-risk questions with plain-English reasons
  • Cleaner questions suitable for routine automation
  • Ambiguous terms and weak source flags
  • Upgrade credit if you move to Pro API access
Why This Matters

The risk nobody reviews is the wording that breaks the workflow.

Ambiguous event questions create downstream review work, inconsistent labels, and brittle automated decisions. The earlier you catch them, the cheaper they are to route or rewrite.

What teams do today

Collect the question. Trust the title. Move on.

Most pipelines treat event text as structured data too early. That misses whether the wording is subjective, underspecified, or dependent on sources that may disagree.

What actually creates review work

Ambiguous wording, vague thresholds, weak sources.

“Material,” “significant,” “substantial,” and “generally available” sound usable until a system has to apply them consistently.

What OracleMangle changes

You get an ambiguity filter before automation.

OracleMangle scores event questions for resolution risk and returns a simple signal: automate, rewrite, or send to manual review.

Proof

Not vibes. Not “AI said so.” Labelled history, measurable separation.

These are the kinds of wording problems OracleMangle is built to catch before they become review problems.

High Ambiguity

"Did the company make a significant AI announcement?"

Our model scored this at 75% resolution risk. The trigger was obvious: “significant” is subjective unless the workflow defines a measurable threshold.

High Ambiguity

"Did the supplier materially breach the SLA this quarter?"

Scored at 75% risk. “Materially breach” sounds clear until the source rule needs to be applied across real evidence.

Still Open, Still Messy

"Will the platform fully launch before 2027?"

“Fully launch” needs interpretation: private beta, public availability, paid access, regional rollout, or something else?

Clean Question

"Did the regulator publish rule 24-18 before June 30?"

Risk score: 5%. Single authority, binary result, and a straight resolution path. This is what event data looks like when it can flow through automation cleanly.

Calibration on the 139K public event questions the production system has scored to date. Note: the production scorer prioritises questions it considers worth reviewing, so these buckets are not a uniform random sample.

Risk Bucket Questions Contested Outcomes Contest Rate vs Baseline
Clean (0-10%) 88,410 702 0.8% 0.7x
Medium (10-25%) 44,469 548 1.2% 1.1x
High (25-50%) 6,392 324 5.1% 4.4x
Extreme (50%+) 213 20 9.4% 8.2x
How It Works

Three steps between raw event text and a cleaner workflow.

OracleMangle is built to fit research and automation pipelines: quick scan, structured score, clear routing.

1

Scan the question before it enters production.

We analyze wording ambiguity, resolution source reliability, and historical precedent across a labelled history of 167K+ public event questions.

2

Turn that messiness into a usable risk score.

The output is a resolution-risk score that ranks questions by how likely they are to create contested interpretation or manual review.

3

Route the question before it slows the system.

Humans get Telegram examples and explanations. Automated workflows get structured API responses for routing and review logic.

For Automated Workflows

Your pipeline already reads event data. Give it one more check.

If a question is ambiguous, route it for review before downstream systems treat it as clean data.

import requests

RISK_THRESHOLD = 0.25

response = requests.get(
    "https://api.oraclemangle.com/v1/score",
    headers={"X-API-Key": API_KEY},
    params={"question": event_question},
    timeout=5,
)
signal = response.json()
	
if signal["dispute_risk"] > RISK_THRESHOLD:
    queue_manual_review()
else:
    continue_workflow()

What the API gives you

Structured resolution risk for teams that need machine-readable routing before automation continues.

  • `dispute_risk` as a numeric score
  • `review_recommended` style routing logic
  • Question-level ambiguity checks
  • Useful for research queues and API safety rails
Pricing

Start free, then add the API when the workflow is ready.

Each tier is designed for a clear stage: explore the signal, test delayed access, run active automation, then scale with custom support.

Free

For exploring delayed examples before adding OracleMangle to a workflow.

$0 / forever
No card. Start in Telegram.
  • Delayed Telegram signals
  • Basic ambiguity explanations
  • Good for evaluating fit
Start Free

Pro

For active API usage, higher limits, and production research workflows.

$79 / month
Stripe checkout. API key issued after payment.
  • 5,000 API calls per day
  • Fresher API access
  • Webhook-ready integration path
  • Python & JS examples in the docs
Start Pro

Institutional

For teams that need custom limits, private data flows, or deeper integration support.

Custom
Designed around your workflow.
  • Custom call limits
  • Data export or private deployment options
  • Integration and compliance review
  • Priority support
Contact Sales
Resources

Research and explainers.

The fastest way to build trust is to show the dataset, the contested examples, and the mechanics behind the signal.

API Overview

How to score event questions and route high-risk wording into manual review.

Read the API overview

Ambiguity Checklist

The five-question manual checklist researchers can use even without the product.

Read the guide

Contested Outcomes Database

A searchable reference library of ambiguous event questions and historical resolution friction.

Browse the dataset

What We Measure

A plain-English explainer of the ambiguity, source reliability, and routing signals.

Read the explainer
FAQ

What teams ask once they realize this exists.

How do I know this actually works?

Questions in our top risk bucket produced contested outcomes at 8.2x the baseline rate (9.4% vs 1.1%). The calibration table above shows the full breakdown across 139K scored questions. Methodology and code are public.

Why pay for this if I can read questions manually?

You can, and you should for important workflows. OracleMangle is for applying that discipline consistently across far more questions than a person wants to read line by line.

Is this only useful for large teams?

No. Free is useful for learning the signal, Starter is useful for lightweight API experiments, and Pro is useful once the API becomes part of a recurring workflow.

What if the data source changes?

The signal is rooted in ambiguity, weak sources, and undefined thresholds. Different source, same class of wording problem.

Final CTA

Check the wording before it reaches the workflow.

Start free in Telegram, use Starter for lightweight API tests, or move straight to Pro for active automation.